Click on the images for a
Climate-Change History in 'nano time'
five to fifteen years into the future
Things are changing ever-faster now on the solar level, even while we are only half-way through Phase-1.
We have had already huge winter blizzards in late spring, sweeping across the grain belt of North America in April in 2018.
Massive snowfall swept through the region when spring planting should be in progress.
At the same time droughts ravished the American Southwest.
We have also had snow in North Africa in January 2017, in the Sahara, in which pilgrims were trapped and froze to death.
We have seen wheat crop losses in Australia in the same season, in the range of 40% due to drought and too much heat.
Agriculture is such a fragile thing, that when climate collapse narrows the growing season, enormous crop losses can be incurred, and eventually will take entire regions out of food production altogether. With these types of uncertainties on the horizon, how can one measure the future?
Some forms of measurements, to measure the future, became possible by measuring the solar dynamics in real-time, in the present, and thereby measure their direction of change. This became possible by measuring the changing ratios of solar cosmic-ray flux in terms of measuring the density of the neutron flux that cosmic rays generate in the atmosphere. Certain types of cosmic-ray interaction with the atmosphere generate free neutrons. Thus, the changing cosmic-ray flux can be measured in real time by measuring the neutron density fluctuation.
The measurements are telling us that the high-flux periods between the solar cycles, which produce colder climates, are getting larger, while the low-flux times, during the peaks of the solar cycles, which generate warmer climates that offset the cooling, are getting smaller, as the solar cycles themselves are getting weaker..
It is worth noting that for cycle 24, the cosmic-ray flux didn't diminish significantly during the peak period, but remained high all the way through the peak times. Which means that no offsetting warming had occurred at all during the peak time of this solar cycle.
If we look at the full cycle 24, to-date, the cosmic-flux took a a little dip where warming should have occurred, and then it shot up again to extremely high levels. This means that cycle 24 was too weak to cause any re-warming during its peak period, and weaker still, will be the cycles thereafter.
In other words, the progression of the measurements tells us that the climate on Earth will be getting progressively colder, year after year, with no recovery in sight that would stop the climate collapse that has begun, of which we have seen just a few fringe effects so far, with evermore to come.
The weakening of the solar system is not as superficial as the weaker solar cycles and their increase in solar-cosmic-ray flux indicate. The very heartbeat of the solar system itself, is slowing down. The interval between the solar peak times has been increasing from the traditional 11 years to 13 years. At this rate of increase we can expect the current solar cycle to be potentially 16 years in duration, extending to 2024, and the next solar cycle peak to occur in 2030, if it occurs at all.
We used to measure the duration of solar cycles as the time between the minimums in sunspot numbers. But now, in modern times when for 817 days no sunspots had occurred in cycle 23, the old convention to look for the minimum in sunspot numbers is no longer practical. It becomes more practical therefore, to measure the time between peak sunspot numbers, or between dips in the neutron counts that occur during peak times, in these cases when sunspots no longer occur.
We may also locate the solar-cycle peaks with radio telescopes, when sunspots no longer occur.
Cycle 25 may be a candidate for this. Cycle 25 will likely be so weak that it doesn't produce any sunspots anymore, so that technology must be applied to measure the solar cycles that have become invisible.
Radio telescopes are useful for that. When the radio signal from the Sun is measured in the 10.7 cm band, the measured signal strength matches the sunspot numbers closely, and follows the solar cycle into the sub-visible level. The radio-flux measurements have collapsed by half for cycle 24, in comparison with previous solar cycles. One researcher suggests that by the time we get to the end of cycle 24, potentially in 2024, the Sun will be 'asleep,' whatever this may mean.
When nothing is predictable anymore, it can be said with certainty that we "haven't seen anything yet", as the saying goes, especially in terms of climate collapse and corresponding crop failures, or even agriculture collapse altogether, in the volatile regions. Plan-B anyone? Yes, Plan-B becomes critical in the near future, in the shadow of the weakening Sun.
Now, the Sun has lost its 'top hat' - where will it all end?
Even the magnetic fields of the Sun are getting weaker, especially the Sun's polar magnetic fields. The polar magnetic fields near the 90 degrees latitude, flip their magnetic orientation at the peak of the solar cycles, which is evident in the reverse of the colors in this magnetograph, for every solar cycle. It is interesting to note here, that the intensity of the Sun's polar magnetic fields have diminished. The fields for cycle 23 were weaker than those fore cycle 22. And for cycle 24, the southern field was weaker again after it flipped in 2014, while the northern field, when it should have flipped, simply vanished.
The entire system that powers the Sun and its magnetic fields, has become so weak that a dynamic feature of the Sun that has never failed. has suddenly failed. It vanished as if it never happened before.
How close to the End are we? When will the boundary time-zone end and glaciation begin?
How close the ongoing weakening of the solar system that powers the Sun has brought us to the inevitable collapse of the primer fields by which the next Ice Age begins, cannot be precisely forecast for the lack of historic references. We only know with certainty that the start-up of Ice Age glaciation (encircled green), and also the start-up of interglacial periods (encircled blue), were caused by the Sun changing states. This is what the measured beryllium-10 isotope ratios are telling us, because beryllium-10 is produced exclusively by cosmic-ray interaction with the atmosphere.
When the last interglacial period ended 110,000 years ago, a dramatic increase in the Beryllium-10 ratio occurred, as one would expect for the Sun going into hibernation by it loosing its plasma mantle with the collapse of the primer fields, so that the full solar cosmic-ray flux was then reaching the Earth. Coincident with these effects happening, the glacial period began. The evidence indicates that all Ice Age theories that are not founded on the Sun changing states, are necessarily false.
In this context it becomes interesting to note that when the Sun is re-activated out of its hibernation mode, with increasing plasma density, large cosmic-ray events occur until the primer fields are formed anew, and the Sun's plasma mantle is re-established. Once this is done, the cosmic-ray flux drops back to interglacial levels.
In the case of the start-up of the current interglacial period, around 12,000 years, we see two beryllium spikes preceding it.
In this case the initial start-up had evidently failed, as there probably wasn't enough plasma density building up at the time, for the primer fields to form. The Younger Dryas re-glaciation was the result of that failure to form the primer fields. When the plasma-streams recovered, 3,500 years later, the start-up succeeded.
It is widely believed in mainstream science that the Younger Dryas re-glaciation was the result of melt-water effects and ocean current fluctuations.
The physically measured Beryllium spikes obsolete these theories.
The measured Beryllium ratios also obsolete the numerous theories of gradual and long-term Ice Age start-up transitions. The isotope ratios speak of a rapid, digital-type, on-off phase shift in solar dynamics, as starters for the Ice Ages, rather than long drawn-out transitions spanning thousands of years.
Dr. Zbigniew Jaworowski suggested in his 2003 paper, "The Ice Age is Coming," that the phase shift to glaciation will likely be swift, as swift as a single year, and will likely begin without a special warning.
The closest that we can come to a warning written on the wall, is the swarm of the increasing fringe effects that we encounter in our world the deeper we move into the boundary zone.
Even the Earth's rotation may be affected by the weakening of the solar system that began as far back as the interglacial optimum, 8,000 years ago. Analysis of historical astronomical records reveals that the Earth rotation has slowed 2.3 milliseconds per century during the last 2,800 years. This period covers a large portion of the asymmetric period in which the primer fields were diminishing more rapidly.
Some scientists say that the slowing is the result of gravitational drag by the moon on the Earth.
It is far more likely, however, that the slowing rotation reflects the weakening electrodynamics of the primer fields and their effects, which actively maintain the spinning of the Earth and of the planets, except for the innermost planets, Mercury and Venus, that are dominated by the Sun rather than the primer fields. Naturally, the large mass of the Earth, would keep the rotational variation at a low ratio.
That the primer fields are getting weaker is also evident in other ways. It is most dramatically apparent in the weakening of the Earth's magnetic field, and in the dramatic magnetic pole drift that has been measured since the 1800s.
A part of the Earth's magnetic field is generated in line with the Earth spin axis, by an internal dynamo effect. This means that if it wasn't for the magnetic effects of the primer fields, the magnetic North Pole, and the geographic North Pole would be at the same location. But this is not the case. The magnetic orientation of the primer fields, which acts perpendicular to the planetary ecliptic, bends the Earth's magnetic field towards it, and away from its spin axis orientation, to a maximum of 23 degrees, according to the inclination of the spin-axis of the Earth.
With the effect of the primer fields now getting weaker, the deflection of the Earth's magnetic field away from its spin axis has been dramatically reduced, so that the Earth magnetic field, measured on the ground, began to approximate evermore the spin-axis orientation. The diminishing deflection away from it gives us a measurable indicator of the weakening of the solar primer fields. Of course at high altitudes, high above the Earth where the primer fields are the dominant force, does the deflection of the magnetic pole remain in the 20 degrees range.
That the system that powers the Sun is getting weaker, is also evident on the Sun itself. A few years ago, around 2007, a feature on the Sun that had not been noticed before, suddenly became prominent. The forming of coronal holes began. When the holes were first noticed in 2007. the discovery made headlines.
Now, 11 years later, when the entire face of the Sun is routinely peppered with holes, the phenomenon raises no eyebrows anymore. While the climate effects in terms of floods are often devastating, the link of them to the coronal holes are simply ignored.
Coronal holes are voids in the sunlight at specific high-UV bands where specific atomic elements emit light. The voids appear to be physical voids, or density voids, in the plasma corona around the Sun, because these voids allow larger volumes of solar cosmic-ray flux to penetrate the corona and affect the climate on Earth with increased cloud nucleation. Are this effects all warning signs that we should heed that something big is in the making?
A case in point is the giant flash flood event in 2015. After years of drought, a flash flood event spread from Texas all the way to Canada. This happened in the shadow of a rather substantial coronal-hole event.
The weakening Sun has caused many such sudden climate effects. Some of the effects are short, but dramatic. Others are gradual and long in duration, and even more dramatic.
Distracting climate effects
Some of the big climate effects also have big secondary effects. One of these is Arctic warming. Concerns are raised over the thinning of Arctic sea ice, or over glaciers melting away on Elsmere island in the far North.
While the Arctic ocean friezes over each winter, increasingly larger areas have been melting during the Arctic summers. The increased melting is cited as proof of manmade global warming, while the Arctic-warming phenomenon is in fact the result of global cooling.
Cold air is heavier than warm air. This means that the cold air mass over the northern Canadian shield, is forced southward by the centrifugal force of the rotation of the Earth.
While the rotation of the Earth remains constant, the centrifugal air movement does vary. It varies with temperature. The colder the temperature is, the heavier is the air, and the stronger it is forced southward by the centrifugal force of the rotation of the Earth.
The cold air typically flows across the central U.S.A. between the Rocky Mountains in the West, and Appalachian Mountains in the East, into the Gulf of Mexico, where the moving air-mass warms up and begins to flow back into the Arctic. A giant air circulation pattern results by this process that carries warm air into the Arctic.
The circulation is termed 'The Polar Mobile Anti-Cyclone'. It is driven by cold air. This means that the colder the northern regions over Canada become, the stronger the circulation system operates, and the warmer the Arctic becomes. The return path sweeps across both the East and West coasts of Greenland, and further north, across Elsmere Island.
Thus, the resulting Arctic warming actually stands as measured evidence that the Earth is getting colder. Here is where the danger lies.
The stronger the Polar Mobile Anti-Cyclone operates, the greater is the danger that the cold-flow from the North endangers the Canadian and American agriculture, like this winter blizzard in April that spread snow and sub-zero temperature across the North American grain belt at a time when planting should be in progress.
While agriculture recovered from blizzard Xanto, it may not recover when such blizzards strike al late as May, June, or July. The current climate collapse is moving us in this direction. We will face these crisis increasingly over the next 15 years.
This systemic cold outflow that is now getting colder, year after year, will in due course overwhelm agriculture in the affected regions, and ultimately disable the affected nations. Without food production a nation ceases to exist.
The ultimately overwhelming effect on agriculture, that the fast-cooling climate of the Earth invariably has, is already being felt worldwide with different effects in different regions, such as in Russia and Europe where the cold flow, named the 'Beast from the East,' is mainly westward oriented by the latency effect of the rotation of the Earth, flowing out of the cold northern regions in the East.
The southward component of the cold flow, when it flows stronger, also has the potential to sweep the cold air mass as far south as North Africa. This is already happening, and it is a part of the Polar Mobile Anti-Cyclone operating more strongly.
When a strong cold flow from the North gets warmed up over the subtropical Atlantic, the anticyclone flow sweeps across Europe and predominantly Norway. From there it flows in the Arctic region, where it cools and returns flowing south, then west, and sweeps across northern Africa.
That's why we see such paradoxical phenomena as Norway getting unseasonably warmer, and the southern regions getting colder.
And all of this is apparently just the beginning, with the climate collapse now accelerating.
We are already past the point where the peak periods of solar cycles had a re-warming effect to offset the cooling caused by increased solar cosmic-ray flux. The last of the mid-cycle warming occurred during cycle 23, and it was already weak then. After that, no more mid-cycle warming happened, and won't be happening. Instead, the cosmic-ray cooling is increasing, with the result that the Earth is getting colder year after year, until the Sun drops its interglacial 'shoe' and falls back into glacial hibernation.
The world is already beginning to experience some of the global cooling in many different ways.
There is no escape possible from this trend, except to build a new world that the collapsing climate cannot touch.
This issue is so real and so big, that if it is honestly addressed, will sweep all the lesser issues off the table.
The ongoing climate collapse is definitely bigger than all the silly games that the greedy politicians, bankers, and media of the world, play in their dancing at the edge of a precipice that they are not even aware of exists.
Only the effects can be prevented - not the cause - of the ongoing climate collapse that the global cooling has on our living on the Earth. The effects can be prevented by us building us a new world with technological infrastructures that the cooling of the Earth cannot affect.
Fear over Arctic warming, together with the hushed up crop losses in the path of the expanding cold, should ring as warning bells to rouse society out of its slumber, alerting it that the need for a new world has not yet been recognized, much less is it considered to be built.
How soon will it be, when we experience future winter blizzards in July or August, instead of just in April?
The reason that it is hard to get people interested in building the Plan-B infrastructures that enable the whole of humanity to live through the next Ice Age, is that nobody in living experience has ever faced Ice Age conditions. The entire development of civilization occurred during the climate anomaly that is our current interglacial period, and most of that development occurred during the last half of it.
When the phase shift happens that takes us back to what has been the normal climate for the last half-million years or longer, which is the glacial climate that we have discovered in ice core samples, we enter a totally different world that is dramatically unlike anything we have ever experienced. Science has enabled us to to look into the future and explore that 'normal' world, and to create the infrastructures for us to live in that future 'normal' world that no one in our time has experienced before.
Ice core records speak to us of a 70% less-radiant Sun. That's what we have measured in ice. That's what we will face from the 2050s on, after a rapid transition back to 'normal,' to glaciation. But who heeds the voice of science? The song is, "let's keep on dreaming that this won't happen"
Ice core records also speak to us of a dryer world with 80% less rain. Has anybody any idea how this affects agriculture, and how it affects us if we don't prepare us for it with compensating technologies, which are presently not even considered? We should be singing the songs of science. But how does one inspire such songs?