NAWAPA XXII Ice Age Alliance (iaa) 

Escape From Fiction to Freedom

NAWAPA 22: Physics

 Rolf Witzsche
researcher, author, producer, and publisher

Here the scene is wide. It begins with astrophysics, and this aspect of the Ice Age challenge begins with Johaness Kepler who discovered back in the earthy 1600s the laws of the gravitational dynamics of the planets of our solar system. He discovered that the more distant planets orbit the Sun at a slower speed than those that are closer. He developed his Third Law of Planetary Motions from these observations. The difference in orbital speeds in our solar system is large. It is almost 10:1 between the innermost and outermost planets. The difference results from the natural characteristic of the force of gravity that diminishes with the square of the distance. This means that the Sun has a weaker hold on the distant planets. This also means that the centrifugal force of the planet's orbit must be correspondingly weaker, or else the planet would escape the solar system. What Kepler has discovered about this interrelationship in gravitational orbital systems is extremely important for understanding the physics of the Ice Age transition dynamics.

The critical factor here becomes evident in the far distant places of our galaxy when a revolution in scientific thinking imposes itself on anyone with open eyes.

It is a science tragedy, really, that the perception emerged that all the stars in the galaxy, of which our sun is one, orbit around the galactic center in the same manner in which the planets of our solar system orbit the Sun. That this cannot be the case is evident by what Kepler has discovered as the law of gravitational mechanics, which is perfectly reflected in the motions of the planets, while the opposite has been observed about the motions of the stars. It has been observed that the motions of stars near the galactic center are extremely slow, while those farther out move at a greater speed, which increases all the way to the most distant stars at the outer edge of the galactic disk.

What does it mean that the stars defy the laws of gravitational mechanics? Doesn't it simply mean that the stars are not motivated by gravitational mechanics but by a system of other forces that are governed by other principles. It has been discovered by plasma physicists that the discovered motions of stars in a galaxy reflect the principles of the electromagnetic forces that produce different characteristics of motions, such as the twisting circular motions that are observed in Birkeland currents. Birkeland currents are electric currents free-flowing in plasma, which is pervading all space. Discoveries by researchers at the Los Alamos National Laboratory caused their perception that the so-called empty outer space isn't empty by any means, that in fact 99,999% of all mass of the universe exists in the form of plasma, which carries an electric charge, of which most is pervading so-called empty space in gigantic current flows extending across a billion light years, if not more, intertwined into large networks of such currents.

There is much evidence visible that our sun is electrically powered at its surface as the electric plasma in space becomes attracted to it by the solar gravity and interacts with its atmosphere, in this case the solar photosphere. A wide range of evidence exists for this discovery. For example, if one looks at the sunspots on the face of the Sun, which are areas where the photosphere has ruptured, one can see that lower layers below the photosphere are much darker than the surface. Doesn't this indicate that the Sun is cooler inside, which means that it isn't heated from the inside by nuclear fusion, but is heated on the outside by electric interactions. This is significant for understanding the Ice Age dynamics. It is significant in that it tells us that the Sun is functioning as a galactic electric energy converter. As such it would be extremely responsive to changes in the density of the electric currents driving the process. That this is so is clearly evident in the 11-years solar cycles. Over the timeframes of these cycles the Sun's brightness in the EUV band varies by a factor of 20. The cyclical variance is also indicated in the changing number of sunspots, which are also noticeable on earth in the form of climate fluctuations. The 11-year solar cycles thus come to light as electric intensity cycles within the space of the solar heliosphere, which is a type of electric plasma sphere created by the Sun around itself. Since electric systems have resonating characteristics, the 11-year solar cycle would be the heliospheric resonance respective to its enormous size.

Ice ages evidently result from larger electric resonances on the galactic scale. The ice age cycles occur in the form of short high-intensity pulses of interglacial conditions lasting slightly over 10,000 years that interrupt the long dim glacial periods that typically last 90,000 years on average. Some evidence exists that the Sun was dimmer during the glacial phases, than it is now in the interglacial phase. A researcher at Los Alamos discovered archetypal drawings from ancient times that reflect shapes that one would see in large plasma discharge events occurring in the sky, near the sun, which might have been visible in dimmer times. The archetypal drawings, which were all remarkably similar, originated in widely dispersed regions around the world, evidently reflecting the same astrophysical event or events.

Ice Age conditions are evidently caused by a weaker sun during the cold phase, since the Earth's total exposure to the Sun remains constant throughout. However, a weaker Sun is also reflected in a weaker heliosphere. The heliosphere is important for our climate. It is a type of plasma sphere inflated by the solar wind that forms a 'wall' of plasma particles that attenuates the density of the galactic cosmic radiation that penetrates through it and impacts the earth. When the Sun is weak, the heliosphere is weak, and the cosmic-ray flux becomes more dense. The result that we see on earth is that the process of cloud nucleation operates more intensely. This means that more clouds are created, which reflect more of the incoming sunlight back into space, and as a result the Earth gets cooler. However, when more clouds are created, more water vapor is condensed out of the atmosphere, whereby the atmosphere becomes drier. Reducing the water vapor density, also reduces the greenhouse effect. Water vapor is the most major greenhouse gas by far. If it becomes reduced, the clear nights become colder and the clear days hotter. The general result is increasing drought conditions and radically changing weather patterns. This is what we are seeing. The current climate pattern is typical for what one would expect to see resulting from a weakening sun.

That our sun is weakening has been detected by NASA's Ulysses satellite that measured a 30% reduction in solar wind pressure and a 20% increase in cosmic radiation before the satellite was turned off in 2009. Whether the current trend is an anomaly or will develop further and intensify exponentially, cannot be determined by anyone. All we know with relative certainty that a long-term cooling trend begun slightly more than 3000 years ago that stepped us gradually into ever-colder climates (See Ice Core Temperature). We also see the steps getting shorter. The steps typically start with a gradual warming that is followed by a sharp drop-off. While some of the previous deep-cooling events may have resulted from asteroid impacts, it is fairly obvious that the long cooling event that gave us the Little Ice Age was of a different category. It was evidently an astrophysical event that gave us a weaker Sun, because during the Little Ice Age the sunspots had largely disappeared. The Sun isn't affected by what impacts on the Earth, and on this event, the first one that we have sunspot records which show that the Sun was 'dimmer' during this time. The coincidence tells us that the Little Ice Age happened subsequently to what happened on the Sun. 

The ice core samples also tell us that during the cold periods the snow accumulation was at its lowest. Most likely the lower snowfalls reflect reduced evaporation during the cold times, and more rapid cloud formation by higher cosmic ray flux, so that the moisture is rained out in the tropics before it is transported into the polar regions where the ice core samples are produced. Which means radically drier climates for much of the world. (See Ice Core Snowfall)

The ice core records also tell us that we have not seen anything yet in terms of the deep cooling we will encounter when the Ice Age transition runs its full course. The Little Ice Age resulted from a cooling of four-tenth of a degree, while the full difference to glacial conditions was in the range of 20 degrees, or a 50 times greater cooling. The full drop-off won't likely be happening fast. It will likely be happening in steps of 200-year loosely defined cycles spread over a thousand years or more. Typically the initial drop-off in a cycle is stronger than the recovery. This means that we might see 5 times colder temperatures than the little Ice Age been in roughly 50 years time. Other ice core researchers suggest that the transition could happen much faster. The Polish ice core researcher, the late Dr. Zbigniew Jaworowski, speaking from the background of his 50-year career in scientific research, suggested in a 2003 paper, The Ice Age is Coming, that we might see a huge transition happening in as short a time as a single year, or that it might be as long as fifty years, and that a transition event might begin at any time and without warning. He points out that the Earth has been in the timeframe where a transition should be expected, for a few centuries already. The rupturing of the heliosphere could facilitate the kind of large-scale transition event that he suggests we should expect as a possibility. He points out that the ice core samples have a low time-resolution as gases escape and intermingle during the process of compaction.

All this leaves us with a big question mark of how the transition process that has already begun will play itself out on a year to year basis. It is not uncommon in electronics for large resonating oscillations to occur during the transition slope when signals are changing state. With the Ice Age transition being an electric process, almost anything is possible as the result of resonating features. Of course, this isn't a good answer for forging economic policy. However, if one considers the highly likely possibility that a 5-times greater cooling than the Little Ice Age had been may be unfolding over the next 50 years, then the more critical question comes to the foreground at which point agriculture becomes disabled, and how far south the disabling will reach. At some parts of northern Europe up to 30% of the population perished when agriculture failed during the Little Ice Age. We don't know what a five-fold increase would do. But we do know that it doesn't bode well. On this basis immediate actions are called for to build the infrastructures for securing our global food supply. This is the call for NAWAPA 22. That is what it is designed to do. It is an insurance policy for the strategic defense of humanity. If we pay up on it, we will live and our civilization and humanity with it will survive and prosper. There is nothing lost if we create the most powerful economic and cultural renaissance of all times a thousand years before it is needed as an absolute necessity. But all will be lost with great certainty if we remain stuck in the 'easy chair' till it is too late to respond, guided by the fiction that the coming Ice Age isn't a big thing and is still so far away that it isn't a valid concern. That's the story of our present age. It is a story of intention to commit suicide. The world sings this song of no concern while the food-producing land is increasingly endangered by floods, fires, storms, droughts, flash frosts, while the growing seasons become shorter, with the world as a whole becoming a more arid and less hospitable place. How soon will we raise a flag of concern and lay the fiction aside that the world is totally safe as it is?

While NAWAPA 22 is designed to protect ourselves from the consequences of the coming Ice Age, for which there exists no interest in society yet, we should look forward to it and celebrate it. No, I am not gone bonkers, we owe a great deal to the Ice Ages, possibly our very existence. While complex life existed on our planet for over 500 million years, humanity did not come onto the scene until the deep Ice Age cycles began.

Ice Ages are not normal for our planet. They typically occur when the background of the electric environment in the galaxy drops below a certain level of energy density. Wile the solar system is affected by electric resonance effects on a relatively small scale, like the 11-year solar cycle, so is the galaxy as a whole effected by intergalactic resonance effects. Being electrically powered, a galaxy has an incoming plasma energy stream connected to it, from another galaxy, and an outgoing power stream towards another galaxy. The electric links span extremely long distances, and in doing so they have their own resonance cycles. One of these gives us a 62 million-years cycle, and another a 140 million-year cycle. When these two long cycles coincide at their low point, periods of deep glaciation result. We are presently at such a point, (See phanerozoic climate). We are at the lowest point in 450 million years, and getting lower. The deepest part of this glaciation began two to three million years ago, and with it began a new Ice Age epoch. This is also when the dawn of humanity began. Under deep Ice Age conditions the galactic cosmic ray flux is at its greatest density. 

Since cosmic ray particles are high energy electrons and protons that carry an electric charge while moving at the speed of light, their extremely minuscule size enable them to pass clear through the human body without coming in contact with anything. However, being electrically charged they leave behind a secondary induction of electric energy that appears to have a highly beneficial neurological effect. Humanity may have developed into what it became in the course of being 'nourished' for two million years with these effects. Many great geniuses of modern time emerged in cold periods of high cosmic-ray density. That's the kind of galactic conditioning for advanced human development that humanity will be moving back into as the Ice Age transition unfolds. We are the children of the ice ages. The interglacial periods may have been for us epochs of interrupted cognitive development in which the gained development is more easily put to practical use than in glaciation environments, but which needs to continue towards ultimate beneficial effects that we cannot imagine yet. We are presently at the threshold to the next phase of continued cognitive development. That's good news, isn't it? The Ice Age transition shouldn't be feared therefore, but should be prepared for in such a manner that the unfolding opportunity becomes utilized to its utmost.

That we are in a transition phase with continued increases in cosmic-ray flux density is seen in many areas when one looks for the evidence. The continued increase of the cosmic-ray flux density that the Ulysses satellite saw happeing as a measured increase of 20% by the time the satellite was turned of, is evidently continuing. While our eye in the sky has been blinded, evidence of the continued increase in cosmic-ray flux density can be seen in the increased occurrence and density of noctilucent clouds (seen from ISS).  They are the highest clouds in the Earth's atmosphere composed of tiny crystals of water ice up to 100nm in diameter, located in the mesosphere at altitudes between 76 to 85 km. They are normally too faint to be seen and are visible only when sunlight is reflected by them from below the horizon. As the atmosphere at these high altitudes is extremely thin and contains extremely small amounts of moisture, a hundred millionth of the moisture density in the Sahara desert, the ice crystals can only form under extreme conditions, such as at temperatures below about −120 C, which occurs typically near the polar regions. Noctilucent clouds are presently on the increase in frequency, brightness and extent (example seen from the ground). The observed increase reflects the continued increase of the cosmic-ray flux density that the Ulysses satellite saw happening. The ionizing interaction of cosmic-ray particles is a prime contributor, if not the main cause, for water vapor nucleation in the atmosphere. This has been experimentally verified by the results of the CERN lab's CLOUD project. The observed interaction would be especially predominant in the extremely-high altitude region where the standard concept of water nucleation around dust particles doesn't apply. While EUV interaction has been observed in the dynamic patterns of noctilucent cloudiness, the solar EUV radiation has not increased, while the cosmic-ray flux density has dramatically increased, as had been measured by Ulysses. This means that nothing extraordinary is happening on the front of noctilucent cloudiness for the simple reason that the observed phenomenon there is nothing more than a logical reflection of the continuing Ice Age transition dynamics.

Apart from these observations it has been noted that the Earth's magnetic field is continuing its weakening trend, like the underlying magnetic field of the Sun that Ulysses saw being reduced by 30% before it was turned off. It should be noted that all magnetic fields and magnetic phenomena, without exception, are the result of electricity in motion, such as electrically charged plasma flowing in space, or in an atmosphere, or electrons flowing in a metallic lattice of joined atoms. The Earth's weakening magnetic field suggests an ongoing weakening of the plasma density that it interacts with, which of course would also be reflected in the Sun. Evidently, the trend that Ulysses has measured in its time still continues. Some aspects are reflected in the Magnetic Planetary A index that frequently drops to and below historic low records. And this, too, is just an element in the larger body of evidence that the solar dynamics are getting weaker.

A more dramatic reflection of the weakening Sun comes to light in the sharp increase in earthquakes all over the world. The increase began at the same time that Ulysses detected the weakening of the solar dynamics. And these are big increases ranging from 14-fold to 72-fold over the historic average. More of this increase can be expected as the Sun continues to weaken by the reduced plasma density surrounding it, which is powering it. Plasma is mass with an electric charge that is attracted by the Sun and is accumulated by it, mostly in the form of protons that carry a positive charge. The electric force of repulsion of particles with equal charge creates an electric pressure in the Sun which is balanced by the external plasma pressure. When the external pressure is reduced, the Sun vents stored plasma in the form off mass ejections. When the Earth encounters  the ejected mass, the mass builds up in the ground and with it its electric pressure that can cause a variety of explosive discharge events and electric stress fracturing in the ground that cause or trigger earthquakes. The sharp increase in Earthquakes that begun near the year 2000, which has no historic precedent, indicates that a major transition is in progress that is presently still an accelerating trend as indicated by the earthquakes occurring in the USA.

The astrophysical environment is changing and is affecting the Sun and the Earth in ever-increasing measures. This would cause no concern if society would commit itself to move ahead of the mounting wave of change. Unfortunately this isn't happening. The lack of response is scary. It is more scary than the darkest fictions. But this too, can change and likely will when society rediscovers its native humanity that is extremely intelligent, alert, sensitive, and powerful by design to create the brightest renaissance ever.

Rolf Witzsche
researcher, author, producer, and publisher

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