Much of the world fears that human activities are creating
cataclysmic climate change. It used to be called global warming. In some cases
it still is. For example, the increasing global drought conditions that are creating a
food crisis in much of the world, are blamed on man-made global warming. But is
anthropogenic climate change really possible? What do you think?
Let me propose a quiz: What do you suppose is the CO2 portion
of the TOTAL climate 'forcing?' Is it 30%, 10%, 3%, 1/2%, or 10 millionth of a
percent?
If you selected one of the first 4 answers, you are way off
the mark and need to watch my video, Man-made Global Warming Impossible.
If you selected the 5th answer you probably guessed, and so you may need to
watch the video also to discover why this answers comes closest to the real
dynamics that are inherently variable.
The video: Man-made
Global Warming IMPOSSIBLE? (90 min)
Transcripts :
The
subject is presented in 5 parts:
Part 1: Climate and the CO2 portion
Part 2: The real climate forcing Part 3:
The paradox of Arctic Warming Part 4:
Priory assumptions choking science Part 5:
Ecological uplift, 10-fold CO2
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Transcript, Part 2: by
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Transcript, Part 3: by
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Transcript, Part 4: by
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Transcript, Part 5: by
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Overview: The physical facts are
rather simple.
The evidence
suggests that man-made Climate Change IMPOSSIBLE. It would be wonderful if it
would be possible for humanity to develop the means to alter the climate on
Earth. If it was possible it would save us the
challenge imposed by the next Ice Age cycle to which the transition has
already begun. Unfortunately, manmade global warming is impossible to achieve.
The astrophysical dynamics that affect our climate are far too immense for us
to be able to influence them, regardless of what our fictional dreaming
asserts or causes us to fear, or causes us to destroy our economies in
response to this
fear. The drought conditions that humanity should rightfully
'fear' are not man-made, but are instead
the natural result of the changing astrophysical dynamics of the ongoing Ice
Age transition that is already deeply affecting the climates on earth
though the process has just begun, even while it is politically denied to even
exist.
Contrary to all the global warming climate change hoopla that blames manmade
carbon dioxide, also called CO2, as a climate villain, the scientific fact is
that
CO2 is NOT affecting the global climate, regardless of its concentration in the
atmosphere. It never has affected the climate, and never
will. Anthropogenic
global warming is simply not possible.
This
means that the climate dynamics that are now unfolding are caused by forces
beyond our control, and that these will continue in their trend regardless of
what we do. If humanity did not exist, the drought conditions would be happening
just the same, because CO2, which humanity is necessarily producing by its
living, is not a causative
factor for anything in the climate dynamics. This means that our only possible response to the
changing climate is to deal with the consequences that are now unfolding for
which the cause is out of our hands in a big way.
Let me illustrate why CO2 is not a
causative climate factor.
The physical facts prove that manmade global warming is
NOT possible by any
means. The prove that the
religion of manmade global warming is a fantasy of political fiction. Oh yes, humanity is easily vilified by
political fiction in which science is turned upside down. CO2 is easily
blamed, because all
life is carbon based, including human living and human activities, so that scare
stories can be created in great quantities that proclaim with fanfares
blaring
that humanity is 'living too much' and is emitting too much CO2 by the
processes that it requires to live.
However, if one compares where CO2 really stands in the global
greenhouse dynamics, a totally different picture comes to light.
Yes, CO2 is a greenhouse gas. The CO2 molecules in the air do absorb radiated heat
energy. This physical quality makes CO2 a greenhouse gas. It is one of a
number of greenhouse gases. The greenhouse itself is not a danger to human
living and all life. The very existence of life on our planet is made
possible by the greenhouse effect of the atmosphere. Without it, enormous temperature
fluctuations would occur that would make life impossible. This means that we really do depend on
the greenhouse effect of the atmosphere. It is one of the most- critical factors
for life in that it
moderates the climate fluctuations. The greenhouse effect of the atmosphere literally enables us
all to exist. The
greenhouse gases retain a portion of the Sun's energy, and the Earth's reflected energy, in the atmosphere. The
thermal buffer that this creates around the Earth makes the nights
warmer and the days cooler.
The CO2 gas in the atmosphere plays a role in the greenhouse process, although
an extremely minuscule role that's too small to have an effect on anything.
It is a physical fact that not all greenhouse gases are equal in their heat-absorbing ability, or efficiency. If
one compares the absorption coefficient of CO2 with that of the most important
greenhouse gas, which is water vapor, a more-than ten-fold difference
comes to light. CO2 has an absorption coefficient of roughly the value of 20
in its two narrow bands within the radiation spectrum of the Sun. Water
vapor, in comparison, has an absorption coefficient of 200, ranging
upwards to 600. In this comparison the energy absorption efficiency of water
vapor is ten times greater than that of CO2. However, the CO2 is responsive in
only two bands within the solar radiation spectrum, at the low-energy end of
the spectrum, while water vapor is responsive in 7 bands, some of which are
located in the high-energy end of the spectrum. (See
example) This addition in the high-energy region renders water vapor absorption
50 times greater.
In addition to all that, water vapor is 100-fold more prevalent in the
atmosphere than CO2. The water vapor density in the atmosphere is typically 4%, while
the density of CO2 is a mere 0.039% This raises the comparative difference to
5000.
Let me illustrate what this difference
means,
extremely conservatively.
Let me compare the CO2 effect to a cat, which stands roughly one foot tall. In this comparison, water
vapor, which is the major greenhouse gas, is comparable to a building twice as tall
as the World Trade towers in New York had stood. In this comparison a cat is
so small that it cannot even be seen. If one was to over-feed the cat and make
it 30% fatter, it still couldn't be seen. Indeed, if it was possible to over-feed the
cat so much that it became 10 times bigger and grew up to the size of a horse,
one still wouldn't be able to see it in the perspective of the visual
comparison. It would remain minuscule no matter what.
Of course the comparison is incomplete.
Water vapor and CO2 are not the only greenhouse gases. Oxygen
and Ozone are also important greenhouse gases, especially considering that 21%
of the atmosphere is oxygen. With oxygen being responsive in the high-energy
region of the solar radiation spectrum. The total absorption ratio may be
100-times higher again, in comparison with CO2, for a resulting ratio of 500,000
to one.
It also needs to be considered that slightly less than half the
heat in the atmosphere is absorbed from solar radiation. Slightly more than half
of the atmospheric heat budget is latent heat released by cloud formation. When
a tea kettle is boiled dry, the water is transformed into vapor. The energy that
is invested to do this, is retained in the vapor. It is released when the vapor
is turned into liquid again. When clouds form, this energy being released keeps
the clouds buoyant. CO2 has no affect on this process. When this factor is
added, the CO2 absorption amounts to roughly one millionth of the atmospheric
heat budget.
Of course, the climate on earth is not only affected by the
greenhouse heat stored in the atmosphere. A large portion of the incoming solar
energy is also reflected back into space by the reflective top surface of the
clouds, which renders the global cloud coverage a critical climate factor. The
energy that is reflected back into space is lost to us. This means that
cloudiness is a rather large factor, as everyone has experienced on cloudy days
that are colder. If one adds this factor to the comparison, the CO2 portion of
the total climate effect will then likely be on the order of one ten-millionth.
It takes a vast religious leap
of faith for anyone to belief that humanity’s half of a percent increase of
the 1 ten-millionth portion of the greenhouse effect will cook the
earth and melt the polar ice caps. This has never happened, and never will
happen, as it simply can't happen.
So, what causes the climate variations then that have been
observed? The global warming doctrine is based on the assumption that CO2 is
the only variable factor in the entire climate equation. This assumption is
incorrect. One of the biggest variable factors is cloudiness. When cloudiness
is increased, the Earth gets colder as more sunlight is reflected back into
space. It's as simple as that. That cloudiness is a variable factor depending
on the prevailing cosmic-ray flux density has been experimentally verified by
the CLOUD project experiment at the CERN laboratories. NASA's Ulysses
satellite has also confirmed with direct measurements that the cosmic-ray flux
density is a variable factor depending on the strength of the solar activity,
which affects the density of the solar heliosphere. Ulysses measured a 20% in
Galactic Cosmic Ray flux coincident with a 30% drop in solar wind pressure,
and a 30% drop in the strength of the underlying solar magnetic field. Thus
the Ulysses mission proved that the Sun is not a constant factor either. In
fact its output energy varies by a factor of twenty in the EUV band over the
course of every 11-year solar cycle.
That the drop in solar strength, that Ulysses had measured,
has a dramatic climate effect, was verified by on-the-ground temperature measurements
at the Solar Terrestrial Institute in the mountains near Irkutsk in Siberia.
The institute measured a 2 degree drop in annual average temperatures,
coincident with the reduced solar measurements by Ulysses. These measurements
disprove the very foundation of the manmade global warming doctrine that is
built on the assumption that CO2 is the only variable factor and must
therefore be responsible for all the climate changes that were observed and
are observed, while in reality it is so minuscule in comparison that it is not
a factor at all. The dynamically changing Sun is the big factor.
That the Sun is a huge variable factor was illustrated during
the little Ice Age in the 1600s and 1700s. While we didn't have the capability
in those days to directly measure the solar wind pressure (that we don't have
anymore either since 2009 when Ulysses was terminated) we do have historic
records that tell us that the Sun was significantly weaker. This is
illustrated by the near total lack of sunspots for a long period of time. This
period with no sunspots was such a cold periods that 10% of population of
Europe dies of starvation as the result of the diminished agriculture. When
the Sun recovered and the sunspots came back the Earth became warmer again as
one would expect. CO2 had nothing to do with that. Nor had the industrial
revolution that began near the end of the Little Ice Age any effect on the
climate, since the warming of the Earth reflected the recovery of the Sun.
Throughout history enormous temperature fluctuations have
occurred that dwarf the puny climate recovery from the Little Ice Age (See
illustration).
The problem that climate science is choked with in the modern
world, is that it is 'hired' to prove a priory assumption, the assumption that
human living is destroying the ecological balance, which in real terms is not
the case. Thus, science is no
longer employed to discover
the actual dynamics that control the global climate. Science has suffered this
type of
tragedy throughout the ages, as far back as Ptolemy.
Logical deductions proceeding from a priory platform
invariably lead humanity into a trap that actually blocks the processes of discoveries,
the processes of real science that takes us beyond the priory
assumptions (see Deadly
Destructive Logic).
Today, the climate sciences are trapped by the same defect,
the same 'logic.' Here the priory assumption is that the CO2 is a villain.
This doctrine is one of the
latest political doctrines of the long war of empire against humanity in which
empire struggles to secure its dominance and its very existence, which is
threatened by human development.
In the real
physical climate dynamics, CO2 is simply not a factor and never has been
throughout the entire history of life on our planet.
During most of the last half-billion years of life on earth the CO2 concentration
has been tens of times denser than it is today, even more than 50 times as
dense as some researchers suggest. Ironically, in times when the CO2
concentration was extremely
high, around 450 million years ago (see illustration), the Earth experienced one of its most devastating ice age periods that
caused the second-largest mass extinctions of life in the oceans (see illustration). The point is
that this gigantic CO2- concentration that existed in prehistoric times had no
effect on the climate whatsoever. The extremely high CO2 concentration 450 million years
ago should have cooked the Earth according to the modern CO2 doctrines. Instead
the most devastating Ice Age had occurred. This immense
glaciation that even destroyed life in the oceans, had occurred in spite of the
Earth's extremely dense CO2 concentration at the time. And how could this have been any different,
since CO2 doesn't affect the climate to any practically-significant extend?
The CO2 portion of the global greenhouse effect is currently so
minuscule that in a comparison with Mt. Everest, the tallest mountain Earth,
the total CO2 effect on the climate would be comparable to just a single grain of finely ground table salt. So,
what do you think? Is it possible that placing another grain of salt on top of the mountain
makes any practical difference, or even ten grains of salt, or 50 grains as in
distant geologic history? The difference, in
either case is nil.
All this means that the entire biofuels holocaust that is now
being unleashed by the mass-burning of food in order to reduce humanity's CO2 emissions,
which is killing more than 100 million people a year with induced starvation, has been
for nothing. And even as this is known the murdering continues, and economies are destroyed
with the choking effect of limiting the man-made carbon emissions. This
choking effect is the most effective wrecking ball against the economies of
human living that has ever been imposed.
This does not mean that CO2 is physically inconsequential for
humanity.
To the contrary. C02 is one of the most critical factors in the
Earth's atmospheric dynamics, because the
Earth's ecological environment is presently severely CO2 deficient. The global ecology is
suffering from a critical CO2 starvation.
As I had laid out before, during most of the history of life
on our planet the atmospheric CO2 concentration has been 10 to 50 times higher
than it is today, but has been gradually declining towards today's
starvation level of 300-400 parts per million (see illustration). Every plant needs CO2 to live.
It breathes CO2; it breaks it down with the chlorophyll molecule powered by
sunlight; it releases the oxygen and uses the carbon for its own construction.
Greenhouse operators have found that when the CO2 concentration drops below
200 ppm, plant growth stops, and below 150 ppm the plans die. Glacial records
show that during the last Ice Age the CO2 density had dropped to and below the
150 ppm level. The next Ice Age that is now before us promises to be more severe.
This means that the ecological
system of the Earth desperately needs a ten-fold uplift in CO2 density, or
else the creeping CO2 starvation will collapse the entire ecological system
during the coming Ice Age, and possibly collapse humanity with it.
(see: Ten-fold CO2
Increase Needed )
A ten-fold CO2 increase is needed, towards the 4000 ppm level. This is the
concentration that
had enabled such a richly productive ecological system to develop that
such giant
creatures as the dinosaurs could emerge and be supported with enough food, with some
weighing more than 200 tons. Greenhouse operators have found that when they
merely double the CO2 concentration in their facilities, a 50% increase in
plant growth results. While the entire global food crisis could be stopped in
the short run by simply stopping the burning of food, the long-term food
security will require an a dramatic increase of the global CO2 density,
possibly ten-fold to app. 4000 ppm, and will also require large-scale
irrigation infrastructures to be built to offset the increasing drought
conditions that are now beginning as a part of the ongoing Ice Age transition
dynamics (see: NAWAPA-22:
Physics).
Of course the required infrastructures and processes won't be implemented for as long as the global warming dogma
keeps a smothering global mental-blanket of pure fairy-tale fiction cast over
the human landscape. That is where the real starvation lies that is choking
humanity to death. Of course, this choking blanket can be lifted and humanity
be set free to start living again.
That's what my NAWAPA-22 proposal
represents. It is promoting the infinite option that is inherent in the
nature of man. Technologically it is easy to uplift the global CO2 density
ten-fold, because 98% of the global CO2 store exists dissolved in the oceans,
from which it can be simply lifted out as needed. This can be done with a number
of self-powering systems. It is easily done. But this is another subject altogether, the
subject: Ten-fold CO2
Increase Needed.
In closing let me make the point that humanity is an infinite,
anti-entropic, and creative species with such great productive power that the
entire biosphere ultimately depends on humanity for its very existence. The ecological
system of the Earth really does depend on humanity for its physical survival.
The ecology of the Earth depends on us human beings, because during the
Ice Age cycles ahead, which promise to become increasingly more-severe over the
next 3 million years, it requires a massive CO2 uplift that only humanity can
provide. The Earth needs our services. If we open our eyes to the great power
that our humanity embodies,
we will invariably discover that the human horizon is immensely bright and
boundless and beckons us to go for it. Then we will
take the footsteps to realize our potential civilization of richly created
abundance where we are truly
at home as human beings.
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